Political polls
Today
5–9pp
Benchmark error range
2026 Q4 goal
4pp
Target error margin
0246810
Who we are
Weareamulti-agentAIresearchplatformbuilttosimulaterealisticpublicopinionandmarketbehaviorinsideourdynamicuniverses.Politicalteams,brands,researchers,andbusinessesuseMorgantotestideas,messages,products,andcampaignsbeforetheyreachtherealworld,groundedincensusdata,notguesswork.
We benchmark simulated political and market polls against real-world outcomes. Today our error sits at 5–9 percentage points, and we're targeting 4 pp or below by 2026 Q4.
Today
5–9pp
Benchmark error range
2026 Q4 goal
4pp
Target error margin
Today
5–9pp
Benchmark error range
2026 Q4 goal
4pp
Target error margin
*Error margin measured in percentage points (pp). Error measured as absolute deviation from published poll benchmarks and exit-style validation sets.
Target reflects internal calibration roadmap through Q4 2026.